Optimization of periodic treatment strategies for bacterial biofilms using an agent-based in silico approach.

Biofilms are responsible for most chronic infections and are highly resistant to antibiotic treatments. Previous studies have demonstrated that periodic dosing of antibiotics can help sensitize persistent subpopulations and reduce the overall dosage required for treatment. Because the dynamics and mechanisms of biofilm growth and the formation of persister cells are diverse and are affected by environmental conditions, it remains a challenge to design optimal periodic dosing regimens. Here, we develop a computational agent-based model to streamline this process and determine key parameters for effective treatment. We used our model to test a broad range of persistence switching dynamics and found that if periodic antibiotic dosing was tuned to biofilm dynamics, the dose required for effective treatment could be reduced by nearly 77%. The biofilm architecture and its response to antibiotics were found to depend on the dynamics of persister cells. Despite some differences in the response of biofilm governed by different persister switching rates, we found that a general optimized periodic treatment was still effective in significantly reducing the required antibiotic dose. As persistence becomes better quantified and understood, our model has the potential to act as a foundation for more effective strategies to target bacterial infections.

Liquid biopsies for early diagnosis of brain tumours: in silico mathematical biomarker modelling.

Brain tumours are the biggest cancer killer in those under 40 and reduce life expectancy more than any other cancer. Blood-based liquid biopsies may aid early diagnosis, prediction and prognosis for brain tumours. It remains unclear whether known blood-based biomarkers, such as glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), have the required sensitivity and selectivity. We have developed a novel in silico model which can be used to assess and compare blood-based liquid biopsies. We focused on GFAP, a putative biomarker for astrocytic tumours and glioblastoma multi-formes (GBMs). In silico modelling was paired with experimental measurement of cell GFAP concentrations and used to predict the tumour volumes and identify key parameters which limit detection. The average GBM volumes of 449 patients at Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust were also measured and used as a benchmark. Our model predicts that the currently proposed GFAP threshold of 0.12 ng ml-1 may not be suitable for early detection of GBMs, but that lower thresholds may be used. We found that the levels of GFAP in the blood are related to tumour characteristics, such as vasculature damage and rate of necrosis, which are biological markers of tumour aggressiveness. We also demonstrate how these models could be used to provide clinical insight.

Developing a computational pharmacokinetic model of systemic snakebite envenomation and antivenom treatment.

Snakebite envenomation is responsible for over 100,000 deaths and 400,000 cases of disability annually, most of which are preventable through access to safe and effective antivenoms. Snake venom toxins span a wide molecular weight range, influencing their absorption, distribution, and elimination within the body. In recent years, a range of scaffolds have been applied to antivenom development. These scaffolds similarly span a wide molecular weight range and subsequently display diverse pharmacokinetic behaviours. Computational simulations represent a powerful tool to explore the interplay between these varied antivenom scaffolds and venoms, to assess whether a pharmacokinetically optimal antivenom exists. The purpose of this study was to establish a computational model of systemic snakebite envenomation and treatment, for the quantitative assessment and comparison of conventional and next-generation antivenoms. A two-compartment mathematical model of envenomation and treatment was defined and the system was parameterised using existing data from rabbits. Elimination and biodistribution parameters were regressed against molecular weight to predict the dynamics of IgG, F(ab')2, Fab, scFv, and nanobody antivenoms, spanning a size range of 15-150 kDa. As a case study, intramuscular envenomation by Naja sumatrana (equatorial spitting cobra) and its treatment using Fab, F(ab')2, and IgG antivenoms was simulated. Variable venom dose tests were applied to visualise effective antivenom dose levels. Comparisons to existing antivenoms and experimental rescue studies highlight the large dose reductions that could result from recombinant antivenom use. This study represents the first comparative in silico model of snakebite envenomation and treatment.